Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.051142e-01 4.102130e-01 0.532568 0.683289 0.861701 1.063995 1.308490
2025-12-07 1.742628e-01 2.999304e-01 0.469899 0.706047 1.015148 1.395981 1.890292
2025-12-14 9.558938e-02 2.178095e-01 0.411274 0.712185 1.141566 1.706926 2.481362
2025-12-21 4.776987e-02 1.531700e-01 0.351751 0.697081 1.230170 1.973246 3.037040
2025-12-28 2.453469e-02 1.151713e-01 0.318348 0.708674 1.351842 2.289533 3.677677
2026-01-04 1.118545e-02 8.491440e-02 0.285070 0.709368 1.452002 2.578637 4.295200
2026-01-11 3.747922e-03 5.802511e-02 0.244395 0.684322 1.503315 2.795235 4.818450
2026-01-18 8.991802e-04 3.969478e-02 0.212525 0.665952 1.559381 3.018226 5.357625
2026-01-25 1.386195e-04 2.892014e-02 0.194176 0.669777 1.651885 3.300379 5.993329
2026-02-01 1.643644e-07 1.834362e-02 0.166450 0.643778 1.684242 3.485344 6.487914
2026-02-08 NaN 1.454869e-02 0.162134 0.672862 1.822723 3.849220 7.267025
2026-02-15 NaN 1.003337e-02 0.148692 0.674331 1.905720 4.123167 7.914909
2026-02-22 NaN 8.717683e-03 0.152683 0.726215 2.098133 4.596257 8.898087
2026-03-01 NaN 6.758974e-03 0.149690 0.757534 2.250882 5.008522 9.799211
2026-03-08 NaN 4.594467e-03 0.140508 0.767904 2.360042 5.349666 10.597576
2026-03-15 NaN 2.553978e-03 0.125163 0.753961 2.414584 5.596278 11.250848
2026-03-22 NaN 1.615464e-03 0.118592 0.767239 2.529764 5.954681 12.093864
2026-03-29 NaN 8.662911e-04 0.109488 0.768500 2.616929 6.264723 12.864471
2026-04-05 NaN 2.889699e-04 0.094608 0.742262 2.636814 6.451367 13.435606
2026-04-12 NaN 6.732296e-05 0.082784 0.722941 2.670142 6.662802 14.051824
2026-04-19 NaN 1.352837e-05 0.076930 0.727060 2.760665 6.984259 14.859135
2026-04-26 NaN 1.728874e-09 0.065444 0.699544 2.768431 7.147579 15.402178
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.065636 0.730382 2.928543 7.609068 16.461793